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Iowa State

Iowa State University · 2026 · Big 12

Efficiency
+3.0
60th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
10th
proj. of 16
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Iowa State is 1-1 and ranked 60th in overall efficiency. Their 32nd-ranked defense carries them, with a 77th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 61% of offensive plays with a 73rd-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 39% of plays with a 39th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
+3 left
Q2
0-0
+3 left
Q3
0-0
+1 left
Q4
1-0
+3 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.6 wins
Strength of Record
85th
-0.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
45th
full season
38th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
39th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Southeast Missouri StateOVCW 3810+33.0100%-2.6Q4
2@ IowaBig Ten#28L 1316-10.50%10.5Q1
3vs Bowling GreenMid-American#138Preview+32.397%Q4
4vs UtahBig 12#10Preview-13.022%Q1
5vs West VirginiaBig 12#68Preview+7.667%Q4
6@ BYUBig 12#19Preview-14.320%Q1
8@ ArizonaBig 12#35Preview-8.132%Q2
9vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#88Preview+10.874%Q4
10@ BaylorBig 12#36Preview-7.533%Q2
11vs CincinnatiBig 12#57Preview+1.954%Q3
12@ UCFBig 12#51Preview-5.537%Q2
13vs Kansas StateBig 12#11Preview-12.623%Q1

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Iowa State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-1.5+4.0+9.5-311Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 39th
SR 69thYPP 36thEPA 37th
RushingEff 73rd
SR 77thYPP 85thEPA 67th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 36th
SR 31stYPP 41stEPA 44th
Rush defenseEff 17th
SR 31stYPP 4thEPA 15th
Dropback rate 39%Tempo -3.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 10th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 26%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 28%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 35%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 14.0Q1 · Allowed: 0.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 24.0Q2 · Allowed: 17.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 6.0Q3 · Allowed: 0.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 7.0Q4 · Allowed: 9.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledIowa StateOffenseDefense
Iowa State Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 77th
-1.4
Field position: +0.6Finishing drives: -2.0
Field position +0.6Finishing drives -2.0= -1.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 41st · Finishing 83rd

Defensive EffRanked 32nd
+4.9
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: +5.7
Field position -0.8Finishing drives +5.7= +4.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 106th · Finishing 24th

2.13 points per drive on offense, 1.08 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(29)41% / 59%34%5.8
Q2(26)31% / 69%54%6.5
Q3(28)32% / 68%14%4.2
Q4(18)44% / 56%33%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.838%7.6
2nd(18)8.550%10.9
3rd(11)8.327%4.8
4th(0)
All (37)41%8.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(34)10.424%3.2
2nd(18)9.833%5.0
3rd(12)5.842%4.0
4th(0)
All (64)30%3.9

Iowa State, all games.